Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 369.457982 420.086032 476.626844 544.728238 624.893138 716.701973 830.435655
2025-08-17 301.356123 368.959704 451.583280 561.147022 704.352779 887.602015 1143.812091
2025-08-24 258.371097 331.285899 425.633791 558.817897 745.518733 1003.409285 1396.507808
2025-08-31 225.655432 299.910810 400.391852 549.505305 770.821132 1096.664735 1631.508260
2025-09-07 204.319923 280.073136 386.639529 551.907226 810.085262 1213.029017 1921.891448
2025-09-14 183.462361 257.950730 366.160700 540.298059 824.458364 1290.944218 2163.536134
2025-09-21 168.765433 242.905613 353.867961 538.738335 853.187719 1395.226205 2472.372054
2025-09-28 151.486997 222.111449 330.347394 515.774092 841.988813 1427.412751 2651.411425
2025-10-05 145.904007 218.671894 333.386778 536.619527 909.149635 1611.777668 3177.820275
2025-10-12 141.661653 216.821609 338.573014 561.433839 986.823288 1830.116345 3836.693762
2025-10-19 134.042933 208.719839 332.425228 565.092849 1024.578980 1974.987404 4368.829219
2025-10-26 124.257737 196.171210 317.464890 550.680746 1024.286161 2039.048952 4720.740141
2025-11-02 115.753614 185.339034 304.894607 540.062056 1031.726095 2125.058387 5166.904726
2025-11-09 112.027447 182.463254 306.232329 556.587230 1099.226986 2363.574004 6120.683814
2025-11-16 106.036782 175.083888 298.626310 554.248342 1124.914287 2507.077757 6849.718535
2025-11-23 99.720777 166.633558 288.269721 545.030974 1133.516590 2609.444960 7489.675128
2025-11-30 95.408326 161.497771 283.719173 547.408908 1169.529937 2791.628298 8474.759225
2025-12-07 89.841253 153.643821 273.265689 535.913376 1170.283534 2877.799654 9155.718655
2025-12-14 85.843378 148.457966 267.625374 534.368868 1195.592421 3039.929183 10203.369806
2025-12-21 79.905318 139.209036 253.196511 511.627706 1163.454119 3025.735363 10535.378009
2025-12-28 78.838993 139.251967 257.542565 532.270725 1248.415897 3390.959340 12688.171957
2026-01-04 78.142103 139.952143 263.275536 556.841999 1348.614200 3834.762881 15507.775994
2026-01-11 75.540849 136.694596 260.428193 560.464985 1390.815600 4096.548901 17610.297285